Posted on May 15, 2009, 11:36 am, by Jonathan, under
Economics.
In the latest consumer price index (CPI) report, all seems fine. Core CPI went up 0.1%, suggesting the Fed is succeeding at holding back the evil specter of deflation, which brought down the economy during the Great Depression. But a closer look at the numbers reveals that were it not for the government imposing a [...]
Posted on February 23, 2009, 10:46 pm, by Jonathan, under
Economics.
E*TRADE just sent a letter out to all mutual fund holders to the effect that they will be liquidating their entire family of index mutual funds this week. All funds will be cashed out by Friday:
After long and serious consideration, E*TRADE Securities has made the decision to discontinue our family of proprietary index mutual funds.
As [...]
Posted on February 17, 2009, 5:52 pm, by Jonathan, under
Economics.
This depression is historic in many ways, but one way that doesn’t get talked about a lot is that it’s the first time America has had a credit-based downturn with a government that is a major existing factor in the economy. Before the Great Depression, in the 1920s, government spending at all levels was around [...]
Posted on February 11, 2009, 10:46 am, by Jonathan, under
Economics.
I had an interesting discussion with some folks last night. The question was whether it is possible for all investments to go down in the short term if things get bad enough. One conclusion was that it’s a harder question to answer than you might think. Do you consider perceived value, or just market price? [...]
Posted on January 19, 2009, 2:22 pm, by Jonathan, under
Economics.
There is an historic backlog in cars. Every day brings the dealers deeper in debt, the auto companies’ unsold inventories pile up, and the introduction of the 2010 models looms ever closer. The amount of unsold 2009 models will be astounding. So, if you’re going car shopping, just bring along a copy of this photo:
If [...]
Posted on December 11, 2008, 1:46 pm, by Jonathan, under
Economics.
For all of the hand wringing about the $700B bailout, the Feds have put our nation’s children on the hook for about $8T (and counting) without a single vote from Congress (who, by the way, is doing everything they can to do as little as they can so that they can avoid political liability that [...]
I have no clue what’s going to happen on the market, but I’d just like to point out something that I haven’t seen anybody really talk about yet. For all the talk about comparing this present market to the bear market of the early 30s, there is one huge, obvious difference: information moves a lot [...]